New Zealand's fourth general election has been action-packed, with resignations, mergers and shifting polls. First, we'll look at at our 4 races to watch. Wairarapa went to the Greens' /u/Stalin1953 by about 16 points- a lack of campaigning from Kingethan15 and increased campaigning from his Greens counterpart made the seat less competitive than initally thought. Whanganui went to Reform leader alpine by 17 points- again, campaigning from PineappleCrusher_ decreased, although hk-laichar continued to fight a strong campaign. A split vote was most likely what led to the unusually large margin. Aoraki had a 16 point margin to Reform's /u/Winston_Wilhelmus. A weak campaign from goofgy meant an easier victory than thought. Meanwhile, Te Pōti Māori was the only really competitive seat we listed. AnswerMeNow1 (also the writer of this article) pulled off a slender victory with 998 votes. His margin of victory in polls had been falling, due to shifting endorsements and a stronger campaign from Ninjjadragon, but the Greens co-leader pulled off a victory. Seats that were completely unexpected to be competitive at the start of the campaign ended out being closer than we thought is a reflection of the campaign. In Northland, former disgraced Governor-General /u/Timewalker102 pulled off a surprise victory against the Liberal /u/RunningAwayFast by a margin of 7,635, resulting in Reform's third electorate win of the night. Southern proved to be surprisingly competitive, due to Red Saturday and the mayhem that ensued- however Labour candidate /u/TheKirrix pulled off a victory with a margin of 596. Reform, however, is the true victor tonight. Winning 4 seats, they've been able to become the kingmakers, able to put a Greens-led government with imnofox as Prime Minister in power or a Liberal-led government with Fresh3001 in power.
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